Champion colt returns in Holy Bull Stakes

Horseracing Betting Lines

01/27/2012 - Hallandale Beach, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Two weeks after being announced as the 2011 Eclipse Award winning two-year-old colt, Hansen makes his 2012 debut in Sunday's $400,000 Holy Bull Stakes at Gulfstream Park. The Holy Bull is part of the track's stakes series for Kentucky Derby hopefuls.

Trained by Mike Maker, Hansen has been made the 6-5 morning-line favorite in the six-horse field. The three-year-old, owned by Dr. Kendall Hansen and Sky Chai Racing, will have the services again of jockey Ramon Dominguez and start from post four.

In winning the Breeders' Cup Juvenile last November, Hansen defeated 11-10 favorite Union Rags by a head while setting the entire pace in the 1 1/16- mile race.

Undefeated in three career starts, Hansen has gone wire-to-wire in all three races. The colt's trainer has an interesting view on that style of running.

"It's no different than a closer. You're dependant on the pace," Maker noted. "You just hope no one makes him go quicker earlier than he has to."

Hansen began his career at Turfway Park with a 12 1/4-length win and followed with a 13 1/4-length triumph at Turfway in the Kentucky Cup Juvenile. His earnings stand a $1,153,305

Another undefeated colt is the 5-2 second choice. Starlight Stable's Algorithms makes his stakes and season debut on Sunday. Regular rider Javier Castellano has the mount and the pair will break from the outside post for trainer Todd Pletcher.

"He's trained very well," Pletcher said. "His first two races have been excellent, he's bred to stretch out and we're optimistic he's a top-level colt."

Algorithms first raced last June at Belmont Park and posted a five-length win as the 7-10 favorite. His only other start was last month at Gulfstream when he registered a length victory over Holy Bull rival Consortium.

In the December race Consortium was the 4-5 favorite and had the lead down the stretch before giving way to Algorithms. Consortium has drawn post two for Sunday's rematch and will be ridden by John Velazquez.

Consortium is owned by Godolphin Racing and trained by Kiaran McLaughlin. Three weeks ago at Aqueduct, owner and trainer sent out Alpha to win the Count Fleet Stakes.

Here is the full field for the Holy Bull in post position order: Silver Max, Julien Leparoux; Consortium, John Velazquez; My Adonis, Elvis Trujillo; Hansen, Ramon Dominguez; Fort Loudon, Rajiv Maragh and Algorithms, Javier Castellano.

Post-time for the Holy Bull is 4:45 p.m. (et).

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Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?

I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.

There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.

Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.

For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.

A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.

The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.

Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.

So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.

Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.

“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.

Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.

“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.

It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.

Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.

The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.

“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.

“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”

Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.

The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.

“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”

Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?

“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”

Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.